New ECDC modeling tool used to predict HIV incidence

New ECDC modelling tool to predict HIV incidence | Courtesy of
The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) recently developed its HIV Modeling Tool to determine how many people are contracting HIV, how many infections are missed or never reported, and how many should receive treatment.

The new modeling tool, which is available both online and as a downloadable desktop application, will help health officials and researchers better understanding local HIV epidemics. This will be beneficial in terms of distributing health products and analyzing surveillance data.

Now public health professionals, epidemiologists and HIV program managers can determine the HIV incidence within a specific population. This figure is different compared to the quantity of new HIV cases that are reported in surveillance systems.

In addition, the application can help to support the application, planning and evaluation of various prevention and treatment programs for HIV. Lastly, the tool can help officials make better strategies to decrease the HIV epidemic’s burden at the local, national and international level.

The tool includes estimates of the annual number of new HIV infections, the number of people who have HIV infections but have not yet been diagnosed, the number of people who need treatment (as determined by CD4 cell counts), and the average time between initial infection and official diagnosis.

Organizations in this story

European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control SE-171 83 Stockholm, Sweden

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